Null hypothesis: predicts no difference
A null hypothesis is a testable statement predicting no difference between the conditions of a study, or no relationship between two measured variables. It is written before any data are collected. Two frames cover almost every question: for an experiment, there will be no difference in [the outcome] between [condition 1] and [condition 2]; for a correlation, there will be no relationship between [variable 1] and [variable 2]. It is a statement, not a question or an aim.
Operationalise both variables
A null hypothesis inherits the operationalisation rule: the IV must be given in full with both conditions, and the DV must name the exact thing counted, timed or scored. Too vague — there will be no difference in memory. Operationalised — no difference in the number of words recalled from a list of twenty between those who revise in silence and those who revise with music. Check you can point to two conditions and to a number recorded from each participant.
A null hypothesis never has a direction
Direction belongs to the alternative hypothesis, not the null. An alternative is directional when it says which way the difference goes, non-directional when it only says one exists. A null predicts nothing happening, which has no direction, so words like more, fewer, faster, better, worse must not appear. Watch the sneaky case: will not recall more words still contains more and rules out only one direction. Build from the fixed opening: there will be no difference in …
Drawn from real examiner reports.
Writing the alternative, not the null
This is the definition trap: the two hypotheses are opposites, so the wrong one loses the mark. A null predicts no difference or no relationship; an alternative predicts there will be one. The command word decides which — read and underline null or alternative before writing. A second slip is hedging: there may be no difference is not firm. A hypothesis says will, not may.
The digest records no hypothesis-specific question, but the underlying failure — answering a different command from the one set — is documented in June 2023 Paper 1 Q6, where candidates asked to state one feature defined the term instead.
An aim or question is not a hypothesis
Three near-misses score nothing because none predicts an outcome. An aim (to find out if noise affects memory) states a purpose. A question ends in a question mark. A lifted line copies the procedure; examiners warn material should be used, not lifted, and repeating the stem earns nothing. Start with there will be no difference in.
Copying rather than using the scenario is flagged in June 2023 Paper 2 Q16 and the June 2024 Paper 2 Introduction, which states candidates should not just lift information. Repeating the question stem is recorded in the June 2024 Paper 2 Summary and Q10.
Vague variables sink the hypothesis
A hypothesis is only as good as its variables. Naming the general topic, not the manipulation, is incomplete — the material in a memory study was ruled not enough. A null with that fault, no difference in memory between the groups, is not measurable: neither groups nor outcome is named. Build it as: no difference in [measured] between [condition 1] and [condition 2].
November 2021 Paper 2 Q05a states that an IV must be given in full with both conditions, and that naming "telephone numbers" alone was not enough.
IV and DV swapped inside the hypothesis
The two variables must sit on the right sides: the DV goes after no difference in (the measured thing), the two IV conditions after between (the groups). Swapping them reads as if the researcher measured the manipulation, which is untestable. Keep the order: no difference in [measured] between [condition 1] and [condition 2].
The independent and dependent variables being swapped is recorded in June 2019 Paper 2 Q2a.
Do not smuggle in a direction
A subtle failure is a null that still carries a direction. Silence will not recall more words than music looks negative but keeps the word more, and rules out only one outcome — silence scoring higher — not silence scoring lower. A true null denies any difference either way. Build from there will be no difference in …
A difference needs a connective
Asked to describe the difference between a null and an alternative hypothesis, candidates write two separate definitions and stop. That scores one mark. The second comes from a connective such as whereas or however: a null predicts no difference, whereas an alternative predicts there will be one. Define each, then join them into one comparative sentence.
That a describe-the-difference answer needs a connective rather than two separate definitions is recorded in June 2019 Paper 1 Q6 and June 2022 Paper 1 Q7.
The null is not what you expect
Two beliefs mislead. First, the null is not what the researcher expects — usually the opposite: they set up the cautious null to test their idea against. Second, writing a null does not mean the study found no difference: it is written before the data, so it is a prediction to check, not a result. Afterwards the findings fit it or not — a conclusion, not a restatement.
The distinction between restating a result and drawing a conclusion is recorded in June 2023 Paper 2 Q1f, where a restated result was ruled a result, not a conclusion, and therefore not creditworthy.
A null can also deny a relationship
Because the phrase drilled in class is no difference, students freeze when a study measures two variables from the same people. A correlational study has no conditions, so no difference to deny; its null denies a relationship — e.g. no relationship between sleep hours and test score. It carries no direction: no positive relationship would wrongly allow a negative one.
Slot the scenario into the frame
Find the measurement and put it after no difference in. Find the two conditions the researcher made different, joined with and: no difference in [measurement] between [condition 1] and [condition 2]. Then sweep for more, fewer, faster and delete any direction.
Pick the frame: difference or relationship
Choose the frame from the study shape. Groups split and compared — write no difference between the conditions. Two things measured from every participant — write no relationship between the variables. Tell: groups → no difference; two measures → no relationship.
Do the AO2 before any AO3
AO3 cannot be awarded without AO2 present, so anchor every point in this study — its actual conditions and measurement — before you judge. A general answer with no scenario link scores zero for evaluation as well as application.
Null hypothesis — a testable statement predicting that there will be no difference between the conditions of a study, or no relationship between the two variables measured.
Alternative hypothesis — a testable statement predicting that there will be a difference or a relationship (statement 11.1.4, given here only as the contrast).
Operationalised — written so precisely that another researcher could measure the variables and repeat the study.
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